Stadium: Volgograd Arena
Judge: Pavel Kukuyan
“Rotor”: Gogua (injury).
CSKA: Karpov, Nababkin, Shchennikov (all – injury).
In the last round, “Rotor” won the first victory after returning to the RPL. In Moscow, the team of Alexander Khatskevich outplayed Lokomotiv (2: 1). She scored two goals, although she struck only three shots on target. Also, the “railroad” did not convert the penalty.
So “Rotor” interrupted a streak of two defeats in a row. Before that, the Volgograd club lost to Krylyam Sovetov (0: 3) in the Russian Cup and received two goals from Tambov (0: 2) in the RPL. This victory did not affect the tournament alignment in any way. Rotor is also in the relegation zone, and the gap from Khimki is also three points.
CSKA destroyed Arsenal in the last round (5: 1). This victory was the third in a row for Viktor Gancharenko’s team and the fourth in the last five matches in the Russian championship. Earlier, CSKA beat Dynamo (3: 1), Ural (2: 0) and Ufa (1: 0) and lost to Lokomotiv (0: 1).
The capital team looks much worse in the Europa League. Here she has two points in two matches. After a draw with Wolfsberger (1: 1), the army team scored zeros with Dynamo Zagreb, although they struck seven times more shots on target than the Croats (seven against one). Fedor Chalov alone could score at least three rubles, but he regretted the guests and kept the intrigue in the group.
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Bookmakers give preference to guests. CSKA’s victory goes for 1.45, a draw – for 4.64, the success of Rotor – for 8.00. The last time the teams met in official matches was back in 2004. Then the army team was stronger.
However, now I would refuse to bet on the outcome. Bookmakers give too low odds on the success of guests. It could be taken on the express, but nothing more.
Consider a draw in the first half for 2.34. This bet was played in four of the last five matches of the “army”. She also entered three out of five Rotor games. However, I would not risk it. CSKA look too unstable. They throw five goals to the “gunners”, and then create eight chances in the match against Dynamo, but they feel sorry for the Croats and dry up the crack in attack.
Zero handicap Rotor goes for 5.65, CSKA – for 1.12. However, I would consider the option F2 (-1) for 1.71.
Firstly, this bet was played in three out of five CSKA matches in all tournaments. Secondly, she went to three of the last five meetings of “Rotor”.
Take at least the game with Lokomotiv. Zheleznodorozhniki created three times as many chances (six against two), but scored only one goal. CSKA in RPL has no problems with implementation. I don’t think Gancharenko’s team will spare Rotor.
Bookmakers think the game will be grassroots. Total less goes for 1.90, more goes for 2.00. Note that three of the last five matches of Muscovites were grassroots, for Volgograd – two out of five.
However, I would consider option ITM1 (0.5) for 1.90. It would seem that CSKA had three main defenders at once: Nababkin, Shchennikov and Karpov. However, CSKA have only had three holes in their last five matches. Rotor also excelled in just one of four games in October. I do not think that Khatskevich’s team will break through in the second meeting in a row.
Bet on the match “Rotor” – CSKA
I will assume that Igor Akinfeev will dry up another biscuit, and CSKA will take away an on-duty victory from Volgograd.
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